More like late July than late May in Houston for Memorial Day.

More like late July than late May in Houston for Memorial Day weekend. 🇺🇲

May 24, 2024 at 6:48 am by Matt Lanza.

In short:
*Summer is here and during Memorial Day you will find little to no relief in the area.
*From here, weather conditions could get a little more unsettled next week, but nothing is emerging that we can hang on to just yet.

Hurricane season: 🌀

*I know no one wants to talk about hurricane season after last week, but NOAA’s extremely active seasonal forecast released yesterday should remind us to plan for the season ahead.
*We talked about their forecasts and the current state of the tropics yesterday on our companion site, The Eyewall. (Link below)

theeyewall.com

*We will update this site every day or two, depending on the weather.

*Yesterday’s minimum temperature at Hobby Airport was 80 degrees, already the third time we have failed to get below that mark this year.
*We are already tied for the earliest first 80 degree morning recorded at Hobby this year on May 21, tying the previous record set in 2022.
*We are about a month and a half ahead of normal, whatever “normal” is.
*Today will be the seventh morning that the low temperature does not fall below 78 degrees, setting a new record in Hobby for most before June 1st.
*We should add at least three or four more days to this before we get a tiny bit of relief next week, just before the calendar change.
*For those suffering from persistent poor air quality due to haze and smoke from agricultural fires in Central America and Mexico, I don’t think we’ll see much relief this weekend. However, I hope that the wind will change next week.

*Anyway, I write all this to say that this is not a normal start to summer. It hits hard and fast.
*Don’t be shocked to see a heat advisory this weekend.
*Practice thermal safety this weekend.
*Yeah, it’s Houston and it’s always hot in the summer. But we’re not yet acclimated to these temperatures for the season, so heat illnesses can strike quickly and unexpectedly.
*Some of us are still cleaning from last week or are even still without electricity.
*Check these people, keep your pets cool and look before you lock up.

Today until Sunday:

*The first part of the holiday weekend promises to be partly sunny and warm.
*Expect highs in the mid-90s and lows near 80, or essentially normal weather conditions for late July, not late May.

*I wouldn’t be entirely stunned to see an isolated thunderstorm pass through areas north of Houston, perhaps as close as The Woodlands or Magnolia.
*Most people won’t see one, but if you do, it could rain heavily for a short time, with lightning, gusty winds, or even hail.
*Again, it’s more likely to be isolated and north of Highway 105, but possibly as close as Montgomery or northern Harris County.

Remembrance Day 🇺🇲

*This should be the hottest day in the sequence.
*Expect mid 90s and a mix of sun and clouds with just a slight chance of late showers or storminess to the north and west.

*The heat on Sunday and Monday will border on “extreme” levels, so maximum heat precautions should be taken here.

Rest of next week

*Things start to change a little next week.
*Temperatures will change to become a little “less warm”, meaning closer to the 90s than the mid 90s.
*Overnight lows could rise further into the mid 70s.
*A series of disturbances could attempt to erode the northeast portion of the high pressure ridge over Texas, which could be enough to revive a few storms after Monday.
*I don’t even want to begin to speculate on the timing, details, or any of this. Just know that this weekend’s stagnant trend might change a bit next week.