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Los Angeles Sparks vs Atlanta Dream Prediction and Picks for June 16, 2024

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Los Angeles Sparks vs Atlanta Dream Prediction and Picks for June 16, 2024

The WNBA continues its season on Sunday with a clash between the Los Angeles Sparks (4-9, 5th West) and the Atlanta Dream (5-6, 3rd East). These teams met on May 15, with the Dream winning by 11 on the road and coming in as 3.5-point favorites. The Sparks are coming off an 81-76 road loss to the Lynx, while the Dream also suffered a road loss falling 91-84 to the Fever. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:00 p.m. EST from the Gateway Center in College Park, Georgia.

Let’s move on to your favorite free WNBA picks for tonight’s game between Los Angeles and Atlanta.

Sparks drops two sequels

The Los Angeles Sparks come into this game on a two-game slide, as they lost by 16 in Seattle to the Storm, then by five on the road to Minnesota. The Sparks are in the middle of a seven-game road trip, and this game against Atlanta is only the third of the trip. In their last game against Minnesota, the Sparks got 19 points and 10 rebounds from Rickea Jackson in the loss.

Jackson is their second leading scorer with 9.8 PPG as a 6’2 forward. Jackson grabs 3.4 rebounds per game, and the 19-point performance against Minnesota was his season high. The Sparks’ leading scorer is Dearica Hamby with 19.7 PPG, which ranks her 6th in the league in scoring. Hamby is a 6’3 forward and gets an 11.4 RPG which is second in the WNBA. Their top backcourt scorer is Kia Nurse, she is a 6’0 guard with 9.6 PPG and is their best deep shooting threat, making 1.5 threes per game. Cameron Brink is their high profile recruit, she is second in the league in blocked shots with 2.7 per game and scores 7.5 PPG.

Los Angeles ranks 10th out of 12 WNBA teams with 77.8 PPG. Their defense ranks 8th, allowing 83.8 PPG. Not a strong outside shooting team, they rank 8th in the league in shooting 32.0% as a team from the perimeter.

Atlanta in the middle of the pack

The WNBA Eastern Conference has two powers: the Connecticut Sun and the New York Liberty. The Sun are 11-1, while the Liberty are 11-2, and they have separated themselves from the rest of the conference. Atlanta is the next team in the standings, but they are already 5.5 games behind the Sun in first place. The Dream have lost four of their last five games and in their last game, they lost to the Fever despite Rhyne Howard’s 26 points.

Howard is the Dream’s leading scorer, averaging 16.2 PPG as a 6’2 guard. The 26-point game against Atlanta was his season high. Howard also leads the team with 3.5 assists per game, 2.5 steals per game and 0.8 blocks per game. Allisha Gray is their next leading scorer, she is a 6’0 guard with 15.0 PPG. Howard and Gray average more than two threes per game. Their best interior presence is Tina Charles, she is a 6’4 center with a PPG of 11.8 and a team RPG of 8.8.

The Dreams are just 11th in the WNBA in scoring at 76.5 PPG and rank 6th defensively in allowing 80.5 PPG. Atlanta is 5th in the league in team three-point percentage, making 33.5% of their attempts.

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The Atlanta Dream haven’t played well recently and have no business scoring 4.5 points here on the road. Atlanta has just suffered two bad defeats. They went to the Mystics first, and it was Washington’s first win of the season, after losing their first 12 games. Then they lost to the Fever, in a game in which Caitlin Clark was 1-6 from deep and only finished with seven points in the game. Atlanta has now lost four of its last five games and is trending in the wrong direction. Los Angeles has size inside that will help them come away with a victory. Brink is second in the league in blocked shots, and Hamby has an argument that she should have made the Olympic team, as she is 6th in the league in scoring and 2nd in rebounds. The Sparks are in the middle of a road trip, but they will play hard here, take the points.

Take the Sparks with the points.

Prediction: Los Angeles +4.5

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These are two of the worst offenses in the league, as Los Angeles ranks 10th in the league in scoring and Atlanta ranks 11th. Every team ranks higher on the defensive end because they rely more on stops than outplaying their opponents to win. Los Angeles plays at a slow pace, as their strength lies in their inside forwards. Atlanta has a center capable of taking on that front line, as Tina Charles takes up space in the lane as a 6’4 center. Neither team is elite from deep, so they won’t fill it from the outside. Defenses will step up for each team and keep that under number.

Take the bottom.

Prediction: Under 159.5

Written by
Paul Biagioli, “Paul Biagioli”

Paul has been a sports fan his entire life and was an All-Conference basketball player at the University of Scranton. He is currently a high school basketball coach and mathematics teacher with a master’s degree in business administration. This unique combination gives Paul the ability to find mismatches from a coach’s perspective while also having the ability to analyze statistical data to spot advantages. Paul will provide you with a range of statistics, trends and analysis to prepare you for any confrontation. Follow Paul for up-to-date analysis and all your betting needs. We are delighted to have Paul on our team.

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