Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction, 05/27/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets and Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves

Date: Monday May 27, 2024

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, Georgia

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/point spread: Washington (+178) Atlanta (-200)

The Washington Nationals (23-28) travel to Truist Park on Monday where they will try to defeat the Atlanta Braves (30-20). The odds on this matchup place Washington at +178 and Atlanta at -200. The total is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Patrick Corbin and Charlie Morton.

The Nationals hit 74 doubles as a team and hit 43 balls out of the park. Washington is hitting .354 and has struck out 406 times, while walking 160 times. As a team, the Washington Nationals earn 4.0 rpg, which ranks them 23rd in baseball. They have compiled 184 runs and 371 hits during the season, while their batting average stands at .226. They have a total of 199 runs scored and have an OBP of 0.303.

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The Nationals compiled a team ERA of 3.88 for the season (12th in the league), and their staff struck out 386 batters. National pitchers have given up 41 home runs in addition to 213 total runs (11th in baseball). They have walked 147 batters and their FIP is 3.66 as a team so far this year. Washington had 433 hits (8.8 in 9 innings) in addition to 191 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.63 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.31.

The Nationals’ relief pitchers compiled a 66.7% save rate and took the mound in 55 save situations. Bullpen pitchers inherited 63 runners this season, and 33.3% of those players earned a run for their team. National relief pitchers took the mound with runners on 46 occasions in addition to making 55 appearances in high-leverage situations. The Nationals sent 176 relievers to the hill during the season. Relief pitchers have collected 34 catches so far this year (8th in the league). They compiled 14 saves during the campaign and missed 7 of 21 opportunities to get a save.

The Washington Nationals have 1,328 putouts to this point in the season, along with 470 assists and 30 errors. Their defensive percentage remains at 0.984, which places them 19th in baseball and has a total of 52 double plays. The Nationals have converted 67.9 percent of batted balls in play into outs over 3,984 innings, which ranks 28th in baseball.

Corbin has pitched 1,772 innings and totaled 1,622 strikeouts thus far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.46 (878 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.372. He allowed 1,885 hits (9.6 hits per nine innings) and had 546 free passes. Corbin (98-123 career record) has a 4.12 FIP while facing 7,630 opposing batters during his time in the majors.

The Braves have a SLG% of .407 and are averaging 4.57 runs per game (9th in the league). They had 95 doubles, while walking 152 times and driving in 224 runs. Atlanta has a total of 53 home runs during the campaign as well as 215 RBIs. They were called on strikes 429 times (16th in baseball) and recorded 418 hits. The Atlanta Braves have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .319 as well as a team batting average of .250 for the season.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.215 in addition to having a FIP of 3.64 as a team so far this season. They are currently ranked 4th in the league as a team in total hits allowed with 388. Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 184 runs during the campaign and comes in with a team ERA of 3 .43 (167 earned runs given up). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio sits at 8.60 (419 strikeouts to 144 walks). They have given up 44 long balls and are allowing 3.78 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball).

Sitting with 50 save situations, the Braves racked up 27 catches and also 9 blown saves. Atlanta saw pitchers from the bullpen enter the game on 23 save opportunities and they converted 14 saves. Their bullpen pitchers took the mound 53 times in high-leverage situations and 36 times with base runners. Atlanta’s bullpen pitchers have an inherited scoring percentage of 31.0% on their 42 inherited base runners. They are ranked 16th in MLB with a 60.9% save percentage, and they have sent 151 relievers to the diamond so far this year.

In their 3,942 innings on the diamond, the Braves have a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (17th in professional baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 40 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in professional baseball). The Braves have 464 assists, 19 errors and have accumulated 1,314 putouts so far this year.

Morton (133-114 career) owns a 3.98 ERA while allowing 8.4 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.60 and he has faced 8,610 batters so far in his professional baseball career. He allowed a total of 890 ER while earning a WHIP of 1.303 and a FIP of 3.8. During his career, Morton allowed 1,877 hits while accumulating 1,932 strikeouts in 2,011 frames.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or the moneyline?

Guy Bruhn’s choice: take Atlanta (-200)

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