Prediction, Odds and Starting Pitchers for Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres (Saturday, July 13)

July 12, 2024; San Diego, California, USA; Atlanta Braves designated hitter Marcell Ozuna (20) is congratulated by right fielder Adam Duvall (14) after hitting a home run against the San Diego Padres in the ninth inning at Petco Park. Mandatory Credit: Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

• We’ve made our Braves vs Padres prediction for Saturday’s MLB game
• Saturday’s MLB odds favor the Padres at -135, with the Braves as slight underdogs at +115
• Read below for the Braves vs Padres game predictions, odds and starting pitchers for July 13.

The Atlanta Braves (52-41) and San Diego Padres (49-48) continue their three-game series on Saturday, July 13, 2024 at Petco Park in San Diego. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET and the game will be televised on FOX.

The Braves are slight underdogs at +115 on the moneyline, while the Padres are favorites at -135. The over/under for the total runs is set at 7, with -120 on the over.

Here’s our Braves vs. Padres prediction for Saturday, along with MLB betting odds and starting pitchers.

Braves vs Padres Prediction for Saturday

The Braves won the series opener Friday night with a convincing 6-1 victory, thanks to Marcell Ozuna’s two solo home runs. Atlanta has now won five of its last seven games and hopes to continue its winning streak against a struggling Padres team that has lost five in a row.

Despite Atlanta’s impressive win in the series opener on Friday, the Padres have a good chance to bounce back and tie the series on Saturday. San Diego has been a better team against right-handed pitchers this season, averaging 5.1 runs per nine innings and batting .268 with a .326 on-base percentage in those matchups.

While Reynaldo Lopez has been impressive for the Braves this season, the Padres’ offensive power can’t be underestimated. Xander Bogaerts’ return from a shoulder injury gives the team a boost, as evidenced by his 2-for-4 performance Friday.

Plus, the Padres have home-field advantage and a starting pitcher with experience in the faceoff with Dylan Cease on the mound. That line has consistently moved in San Diego’s favor, indicating a lively action. With the crowd hammering the underdog, the safest bet is that San Diego will tie the series.

Saturday MLB Picks:

Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Game Odds

The bookmakers have the Padres as favorites in this game, with odds of -135, which implies a 55.8% chance of a San Diego victory. The Braves, on the other hand, are slight underdogs at +115, which indicates a 48.1% chance of victory.

Those odds reflect the Padres’ home-field advantage and their better record against right-handed pitchers this season. Despite Atlanta’s win Friday, San Diego’s potent offense and Cease’s pitching ability make it clear why the Padres are favored in this game.

First Look at Dylan Cease in His New Colors‼️

(via @Padres) pic.twitter.com/KDeTBOalj3

— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) March 14, 2024

In addition to the moneyline, the total points line (over/under) is set at 7, with the over at -120 and the under at +100. This suggests that bookmakers believe there is a slightly higher probability that the game will see seven or more points scored.

Factors influencing this line include the Padres’ strong offensive performance against right-handed pitching and the potential for both teams to score runs despite having quality starting pitchers.

Odds valid as of July 13, 2024 at BetMGM Sportsbook. Get up to $1,500 cashback by unlocking BetMGM promo code for Saturday’s MLB baseball game.

Braves starting pitchers vs. Padres

Saturday’s pitching matchup will feature Reynaldo Lopez (7-2, 1.71 ERA) for the Braves and Dylan Cease (7-8, 4.21 ERA) for the Padres.

Lopez has been one of the best pitchers in the major leagues this season and has been particularly impressive in his last five starts, allowing just ten total runs. He has a better WHIP (1.11) away from home than he does at home, suggesting he could experience some positive regression despite his already excellent numbers.

On the other hand, Cease has the talent to deliver a good performance as well. Despite some recent struggles, Cease has shown signs of excellence and is posting a solid 3.69 ERA in home games this season.

In his last start against the Arizona Diamondbacks, Cease pitched seven innings, allowing three runs on five hits and one walk while striking out eight. If he can keep his momentum going and effectively limit the Braves’ offense, the Padres will have a good chance of winning.

Braves vs Padres Injury Report

The Padres got a boost Friday with the return of second baseman Xander Bogaerts, who has been sidelined with a shoulder injury since May 20. Bogaerts went 2 for 4 at-bats in his first game back, providing a boost to the Padres’ struggling offense.

On the Braves side, there are no new major injuries to report, with Ronald Acuña Jr. (knee) out for the rest of the season. The team has managed to maintain its success despite his absence, thanks in large part to the standout performances of players like Ozuna and Lopez.

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