Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox Odds, Picks and Predictions

THE Boston Red Sox (30-31) and the Atlanta Braves (34-24) conclude a 2-game series on Wednesday. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET (NESN). Let’s analyze the FanDuel Sportsbook lines around the Braves vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 3-0

Following a 3 RBI night from 2B Ozzie Albies, the Braves crushed the Red Sox 8-3 on Tuesday. Atlanta has won 2 in a row and 3 of its last 4. The Braves are 2nd in the NL East and are 15-12 on the road this season.

The Red Sox, who are just 13-18 at home, have lost 4 of their last 6 games and have been dominated by the Braves in their 3 contests this season by a total of 17-5. Boston is 3rd in the AL East and has a 26-35 ATS record.

Braves among Red Sox projected starters

RHP Spencer Schwellenbach against RHP Nick Pivetta

Schwellenbach (0-1, 5.00 ERA) is making his 2nd start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, a 1.8 BB/9 and a 9.0 K/9 in 5 IP.

• Last Start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 7-2 home loss to the Washington Nationals on May 29
• I skipped Triple-A; was promoted to Double-A 3 weeks ago before being called up to Atlanta
• 2024 stats with Double-A Mississippi: 2-0, 0.00 ERA (13 IP), 0.46 WHIP in 2 starts

Pivetta (2-4, 4.08 ERA) is making his 8th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, a 1.8 BB/9 and a 10.7 K/9 in 35 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 9 K in a 5-0 home loss to the Detroit Tigers on May 30
• 2024 road splits: 2-2, 3.00 ERA (21 IP, 7 ER), 16 H, 5 HR, 2 BB, 22 K in 4 starts
• Career vs. Braves: 7-5, 5.30 ERA (93 1/3 IP, 55 ER), 1.39 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 20 appearances (16 starts)

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Braves alongside the Red Sox

Powered by FanDuel Sportsbook; Go to the USA TODAY Sports Sports Betting Scores & Odds hub for a complete list. Lines last updated at 6:41 a.m. ET.

• Money Line (ML): Braves -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Red Sox -106 (bet $106 to win $100)
• Running Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+138) | Red Sox +1.5 (-166)
• More/Less (Y/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Red Sox Braves Picks and Predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Braves 4

Money line

BET THE RED SOX (-106).

Atlanta is 10 games above .500 this season, but is just 17-16 after a win, which will be the case here. Add in Boston, which is 16-14 as an underdog, and there’s reason to root for the home team.

Also concerning is the inexperience of Schwellenbach, who gave up 3 ERs in his first appearance on the mound. Although Pivetta hasn’t been very consistent, he has been a solid option for most of the season.

Put it all together and come back RED SOX (-106).

Running Line/Against the Spread

PASS.

There is simply no real value here.

The Braves are the running line favorites, but they are too expensive, especially since it will be difficult to win a 4th straight game this year against the Red Sox.

Also avoid Boston as a running line underdog.

More less

BET UNDER 9.5 (-105).

The Braves have gone under in 3 of their last 5 games, and they are 21-34-1 O/U this season, making them the 4th worst overhit team in MLB. Atlanta has allowed 3 points or less in 4 of its last 5 games.

The Red Sox may have gone over in 4 straight games, but have gone under in Pivetta’s last 2 starts and are still 25-32-4 O/U this season.

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